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Finance Forecaster

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Can we live on one income?

Answer 3 quick questions. See your answer in under a minute.

Question 1 of 3

What do you each earn before tax?

Gross annual salaries. Put the income that would change second.

Salary before taxes and deductions.

Salary before taxes and deductions.

Typical amount filled in. Change it to yours.

What changes for Partner B?
What changes
What do you pay for childcare each month?

Today, with both of you working. Enter 0 if none.

Typical amount filled in. Change it to yours.

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Your answer

Tight

It works, but it gets tight in 2026. One surprise could tip it.

This is an estimate from three answers. Finance Forecaster runs the same forecast on your real accounts — for both of you — and keeps it current every month.

See your full forecast — free

What the change really costs each month, both scenarios side by side for every year, the long-term retirement cost, and the alternative plans. It opens right here, and we email you a copy.

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Your year-by-year forecast

Unlocks with your email: the real monthly cost, whether it holds, both scenarios on a chart and in a table, the retirement cost and the alternative plans.

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Refine your answer 20 more inputs, all prefilled with typical values. Change any of them and your answer updates.

Who is who

Optional. Names make the rest of the page easier to read; they stay in your browser.

Your household

Housing, food, cars, travel — everything except childcare.

Retirement top-ups, college funds, emergency fund. The plan has to leave room for this.

Enter 0 if your state has no income tax; otherwise use a flat planning rate close to your effective state rate.

Partner B's change

A part-time plan returns to full-time; a full stop returns to work.

Sets the kindergarten year, which is when childcare costs end in both scenarios.

Re-entry usually comes with a haircut; 85% is typical after a multi-year break.

Used to grow the skipped retirement contributions to age 65.

Costs that go away or change

Commute, parking, lunches, wardrobe. Part-time saves the share of days not worked.

Pre-tax. Stops with a full stop, scales with part-time pay.

Forgone while away; counted in the long-term cost.

Many employers drop coverage below ~30 hours, so this applies to part-time too unless you set No.

Assumptions Edit

Also indexes the tax brackets so the projection does not suffer artificial bracket creep.

Pre-tax; reduces take-home in both scenarios.

Used only for the long-term cost estimate.

Deciding on one income together

  1. Your real numbers: connect your accounts and see the forecast for your household, not a typical one.
  2. One number you both trust: you and your partner see the same forecast, so the conversation starts from the same page.
  3. Stay on track after you decide: a 10-minute weekly check-in and a calm heads-up if the plan starts to slip.
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Estimates for planning purposes only, using simplified 2026 federal tax rules (married filing jointly, standard deduction, no credits). Not tax or financial advice.

A practical guide to the one-income decision

Start with the real cost, not the salary

Most couples begin this conversation with the gross salary: one partner earns $95,000, so the question becomes "can we live without $95,000?" The more useful starting point is what that salary actually adds to the household each month. A second paycheck arrives after federal income tax, Social Security and Medicare, the 401(k) deferral and, in most states, state tax. Because it is stacked on top of the first salary, it is taxed at the household's highest rates, so its take-home share is noticeably lower than the first salary's.

Then set aside the costs that exist only because both of you work. Childcare is the largest for most families with a child under five. Commuting, parking, lunches, a work wardrobe and the convenience spending that happens when nobody has time to cook all shrink or disappear when one partner steps back. What remains is the real monthly cost of the change, and for many households it is much more manageable than the headline salary. The calculator above does that arithmetic for your numbers and shows the two figures side by side, which is usually the moment the decision starts to feel workable.

The tax and childcare arithmetic

Two effects make the real cost smaller than the salary, and both are mechanical rather than optimistic. The first is the tax wedge. The calculator estimates your household's federal income tax as a married couple filing jointly, using the standard deduction and the progressive brackets, plus employee payroll tax for each earner and a flat state rate you supply. It runs that estimate twice for every year, once with both salaries and once with the changed one, and the difference is the take-home that actually changes. Because the second salary sits in the higher brackets, that difference is smaller than the salary times your average tax rate.

The second effect is childcare. If the partner who steps back is the reason you no longer need full-time care, the saving is immediate and it comes from after-tax dollars. The calculator counts childcare as a cost both scenarios pay until your youngest starts kindergarten, then removes it from both. That timing is worth seeing clearly: a plan that is comfortable while childcare is being saved will have less room the year the saving ends, which is why the forecast shows every year rather than just the first.

The long-term costs, so they are in the plan

The monthly math leaves out two longer-term items that are easy to plan for once they are visible. The first is retirement. A 401(k) contribution and its employer match pause when the paycheck does. Over a three-year break at a modest salary that is tens of thousands of dollars that would otherwise have compounded for two or three decades. The full forecast grows those skipped contributions at an investment return you choose, to age 65, so you can see the order of magnitude. Some couples choose to redirect part of the childcare saving into the working partner's retirement account to offset it; treat the figure as a planning input, not a prediction of an account balance.

The second is re-entry pay. People who return after a multi-year break often come back a little below the pay they would have reached. The calculator defaults to a return at 85% of what the salary would have become, and lets you set it anywhere from zero to a raise. The alternative plan that returns at 70% is a useful check: if the household is fine either way, the plan does not depend on how the comeback goes.

Part-time versus stepping back fully

Part-time is its own option rather than a smaller version of stopping. On the income side, a part-time salary keeps some of the lowest-taxed dollars and often keeps the 401(k) match. On the cost side, it keeps a share of childcare, commuting and work costs, and it may or may not keep health coverage, since many employers set benefits at around thirty hours a week. Which comes out ahead depends on the specific numbers, which is why the calculator models both and the full forecast shows the one you did not pick as an alternative plan.

There is also a longer-term case for part-time that the spreadsheet cannot capture: staying attached to a field tends to make re-entry smoother. If the two options are close on monthly cost, that is a reasonable tiebreaker.

Questions worth settling together

What is the real monthly cost, and can we see it in our actual accounts? The number above is an estimate built from figures you typed in. Checking it against what actually leaves your accounts each month, including the irregular costs that estimates miss, turns an estimate into a plan.

What is the plan for when childcare ends anyway? If the saving that makes the plan work ends in three years, decide now whether that is also the return date, or whether spending will come down, or whether the remaining income will have grown enough by then.

Who provides the health coverage? If it comes from the job that is changing, price the replacement early. It is a single line that can be the difference between Tight and Comfortable, and it is easy to get a real quote for.

How much room do we want in the tightest year? Look at the year with the smallest margin in the forecast and picture a 10% dip in the remaining income. If you would pause saving for a year, that is a Tight plan, and it is a reasonable plan as long as you are both choosing it with open eyes.

Frequently asked questions

How does the calculator decide between Comfortable, Tight and Breaks?

For every year of the plan it estimates the household's take-home on one income, subtracts spending, the childcare you would still pay, any replacement health coverage and the savings you want to keep making, and adds back the work costs you no longer pay. If every year keeps at least 10% of your current (both-working) take-home as margin, the plan is Comfortable. If every year covers its costs but at least one holds less than 10%, it is Tight. If any year needs more than the household brings in, it is marked Breaks, and the forecast shows which year and by how much.

How are taxes estimated?

As a married couple filing jointly, using the current year's federal standard deduction and progressive brackets, employee Social Security tax up to the wage base, Medicare tax, the Additional Medicare Tax above the joint threshold, and a flat state rate you enter. Pre-tax 401(k) contributions reduce taxable income. It is a planning estimate: no credits, itemised deductions, AMT or phase-outs, so your actual return will differ.

Why is the real cost so much lower than the salary?

Because a second salary is taxed at the household's highest marginal rates, and because stepping back removes costs that only exist when both partners work: childcare, commuting, lunches and a work wardrobe. The free result shows each of those pieces so you can see where the difference comes from.

What happens to childcare in the model?

Childcare is treated as a cost both scenarios pay until your youngest child starts kindergarten, then it ends in both. While one partner is away, a full stop removes all of it and a part-time plan removes the share you choose. If a plan has more room while childcare is being saved, the forecast shows how the margin changes the year the saving ends, so you can plan the return or the spending around it.

What if the answer is Tight or Breaks?

It is information about the specific plan you entered, not about the idea. Try the part-time option, a later start, a shorter break, a different return date, or a lower spending figure, and watch the verdict respond. The full forecast also shows three alternative plans side by side so you can see which lever moves the answer the most.

Does the calculator store my income or spending?

No. All of the maths runs in your browser. If you unlock the full forecast with your email, we store only your email, a short summary (the verdict, whether the plan is a full stop or part-time, how many years away, a rough cost bucket and the year the plan comes up short, if one does) and the campaign that brought you here. The forecast you unlock is emailed to you once; the figures in it are used for that one email and are not stored. Your raw inputs are never placed in the page address.