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Finance Forecaster

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Can we afford to move up?

Answer 4 quick questions. See your answer in under a minute.

Question 1 of 4

What is your current home worth?

Your best estimate of what it would sell for.

Typical amount filled in. Change it to yours.

What do you still owe on it?

The remaining mortgage balance.

Typical amount filled in. Change it to yours.

What would the new home cost?

The purchase price you have in mind.

Typical amount filled in. Change it to yours.

What is your monthly take-home pay?

Everyone in the household, after taxes and payroll deductions. Prefilled from a $275K gross income; replace it with your own figure.

Typical amount filled in. Change it to yours.

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Your answer

Tight

It works, but it gets tight in 2026. One surprise could tip it.

This is an estimate from four numbers. Finance Forecaster runs the same forecast on your real accounts — for both of you — and keeps it current every month.

See your full forecast — free

The four key numbers, every year for a decade on a chart and in a table, the loan and PMI detail, and three alternative plans. It opens right here, and we email you a copy.

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Your year-by-year forecast

Unlocks with your email: the monthly change, whether it holds, the equity you free up and the cash at closing, plus every year on a chart and in a table and three alternative plans.

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Refine your answer 23 more inputs, all prefilled with typical values. Change any of them and your answer updates.

Your household

Salaries before taxes and deductions. Lenders qualify you on this, and we use it to estimate your take-home.

Food, cars and their payments, childcare, travel — everything except your mortgage, taxes, insurance and HOA.

Retirement, college funds, emergency fund. The plan has to leave room for this.

Your current home

Principal, interest, taxes, insurance and HOA today.

The new home

Savings you would add on top of the proceeds from selling.

Use the rate a lender has actually quoted you. We do not assume a market rate.

Selling, closing and moving Edit

Commissions, closing, repairs and staging.

Your current housing cost for those months is added to the cash you need at closing.

New home running costs Edit

Varies widely by state and county, from under 0.5% to over 2% of value. Check the assessor or appraisal district for the specific address.

Estimated at 0.75% of the purchase price (change the rate under Assumptions). Premiums vary a lot by region and by the home, so replace it with a real quote for the address; clear it to get the estimate back.

Charged while the loan is above 78% of the price, then removed.

Assumptions Edit

Cars, student loans, minimum card payments. Used only for the lender's 43% test; for cash flow they are already inside your spending above.

Also applied to HOA, maintenance and utilities.

Drives the insurance estimate in Running costs. Many areas run roughly 0.4–1%; storm, wildfire and coastal regions can be higher.

Deciding on a bigger house together

  1. Your real numbers: connect your accounts and see the forecast for your household, not a typical one.
  2. One number you both trust: you and your partner see the same forecast, so the conversation starts from the same page.
  3. Stay on track after you decide: a 10-minute weekly check-in and a calm heads-up if the plan starts to slip.
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Estimates for planning purposes only. Not financial, tax, or lending advice. Mortgage interest deductions and tax effects are not modeled.

A practical guide to moving up

Two numbers: what a lender will approve, and what fits your cash flow

A pre-approval letter answers one question: how much will this lender let you borrow? It is built from gross income, your existing debt payments and the new mortgage payment, measured against ratios the lender considers acceptable, commonly around 28% of gross income for the housing payment and 43% for all debts together. Those tests do not see what you take home after taxes and retirement contributions, what you spend on children, cars, travel and food, or how much you want to keep saving. They also stop at the mortgage, taxes, insurance and HOA; maintenance, higher utilities and furnishing a bigger house sit outside them.

That is why the calculator above gives you both numbers. The lender's view is labelled as typical guidelines, because every lender differs. The cash-flow view answers the question you actually care about: the highest price at which your household still keeps a cushion every single year. Knowing both before you start looking means you can set your own ceiling rather than discovering it later.

What moving up costs, at closing and every month

Moving up costs money twice: once at closing and then monthly for as long as you own the house. At closing, selling your current home typically costs around 6% of its price in commissions, closing fees and the repairs and staging it takes to sell well. Buying costs another few percent in lender fees, title and escrow. Moving and furnishing a larger house is rarely under five figures. All of that comes out of the equity you are counting on for the down payment, which is why the calculator works out the net proceeds and the cash needed at closing before it does anything else.

Then the monthly cost. The mortgage payment is the headline, and on a higher-priced home the other lines grow with it: property tax is a percentage of value, insurance follows the rebuild cost, and maintenance scales with square footage and age. A rule of thumb of 1% of the price per year for upkeep is generous for a newer home and about right for an older one. If the down payment lands under 20% of the price, private mortgage insurance adds a line until the loan falls below 78% of the purchase price. The calculator adds all of these to the mortgage payment to get the full monthly housing cost, then compares it with what you pay today, so the change is a concrete figure rather than a guess.

Property taxes and insurance

Property tax rates vary widely by state, county, city and school district, and the number that matters is the one for the specific address you are considering, not a state or national average. The best source is the county assessor or appraisal district and the taxing units listed on last year's bill for that property. In many places a sale resets the assessed value to something close to the purchase price, so plan on your own bill being higher than the previous owner's.

Homeowners insurance has risen in many regions in recent years, and premiums on larger homes can be a meaningful share of the monthly cost. A real quote for the address, obtained before you make an offer, is worth more than scaling up your current premium. The calculator grows both taxes and insurance a little faster than general inflation by default, so a plan that is Comfortable in year one is shown with the realistic year-five and year-six figures as well.

Buying before selling

Carrying two homes for a few months is a common and workable way to move, and it changes the cash you need at closing. If you buy first, the proceeds from your current home are not available for the down payment on the day you close, and you pay two housing costs until the old home sells. The calculator handles the simple version of that: it adds the months of overlap to your cash at closing and tells you if the total exceeds the equity and savings you have. It does not model bridge loans or contingent offers, so treat a warning as a prompt to ask a lender how the gap would be financed, not as a sign that it cannot be done.

Questions worth settling before you list

Which number are we planning around? If the cash-flow maximum is below the lender maximum, decide together which one is your ceiling before you start touring. Most households find the cash-flow number is the one they are glad they used.

How much room do we want in the tightest year? Look at the year with the smallest margin in the full forecast. If a car repair or a smaller bonus would use it up, that is a Tight plan, and it is a reasonable plan as long as you both choose it knowingly.

What if the rate is a point higher? Rates move between pre-approval and closing. The alternative plan with a rate one point higher shows how much that alone changes, so you know in advance whether a rate move changes the decision.

Where does the closing cash come from? Equity becomes cash when the sale closes. If you are buying first, have the gap financed on paper before it needs to be financed in practice.

What do our real accounts say? This calculator works from estimates you typed in. Households that make this decision well check those estimates against what actually leaves their accounts each month, how uneven the year is, and what is genuinely left after everything clears. That is the job Finance Forecaster was built for.

Frequently asked questions

How does the calculator decide between Comfortable, Tight and Breaks?

For each of the next ten years it projects your take-home pay, non-housing spending, the savings you want to keep making, the new home's full housing cost (mortgage, property tax, insurance, HOA, maintenance, PMI and the utilities increase). If every year keeps at least 10% of that year's take-home as margin, the plan is Comfortable. If every year covers its costs but at least one holds less than 10%, it is Tight. If any year needs more than you bring in, it is marked Breaks, and the forecast shows which year and by how much.

How is the "lender says" number estimated?

It is the highest price at which the mortgage payment plus property tax, insurance, HOA and any PMI stays at or under 28% of your gross monthly income, and that payment plus your other debt payments stays at or under 43%, using the same down-payment funds, rate and cost assumptions you entered. These are typical guidelines; every lender uses its own rules, so treat it as a rough ceiling rather than a pre-approval.

How is the "cash flow says" number found?

The calculator searches, in $5,000 steps, for the highest purchase price that keeps the plan Comfortable in every projected year with your actual take-home, spending, savings goal and growth assumptions. It is the price your household can carry with a cushion. For many households it sits below the lender figure, which is useful to know before you start looking.

What is counted in the cash needed at closing?

The down payment, buyer closing costs, moving and furnishing costs, and, if you buy before selling, your current housing cost for the months you carry both homes. The down payment is what is left of your sale proceeds and extra cash after the other costs. If that is under 3% of the price, or the total exceeds the funds you have, the result points it out so you can plan for it.

What if the answer is Tight or Breaks?

It describes the specific price and assumptions you entered, not whether moving up is a good idea. The free result already shows the price your cash flow supports with a cushion. Try that price, a larger down payment from savings, a different rate, and watch the verdict respond. The full forecast shows three alternative plans side by side so you can see which lever moves the answer the most.

Does the calculator store my income, balances or home values?

No. All of the maths runs in your browser. If you unlock the full forecast with your email, we store only your email, a short summary (the verdict, a broad price bracket, the year the plan comes up short if one does and your answer to when you plan to move) and the campaign that brought you here. The forecast you unlock is emailed to you once; the figures in it are used for that one email and are not stored. Nothing is shared with any third party.